Volume 1: The Empire Awakens Chapter 18: The First Fleet (Part 1)
Ten days later, Tan Renhao handed a report on possible exercises against Japan's four main fleets to Colonel Ji Xiaobin.
At the same time, he received two pieces of news, one good and one bad.
The good news is that the visiting fleet will be Japan's Southwest Fleet, and it will also include the Akagi aircraft carrier, which has just completed the third phase of its modification.
The bad thing is that it will not be the Fifth Fleet but the soon-to-arrive First Fleet that will conduct friendly exercises with the Japanese Southwest Fleet.
"This time, Marshal Sagittin made the decision himself. General Pei Yuming will lead the First Fleet to conduct friendly exercises with the Southwest Combined Fleet of Japan."
Ji Xiaobin handed an internal reference to Tan Renhao, "This is the order we just received. The First Fleet will arrive in five days. I know how you feel. General Liao Hanxiang also went to the Zhoushan Naval Command yesterday, but we definitely won't be able to take the stage this time."
Tan Renhao seemed very calm, but he felt unhappy inside.
The First Fleet is the oldest and most powerful fleet in the history of the Empire. For hundreds of years, it has been the vanguard of the Imperial Navy and the main force in defending the Empire's oceans.
It can be said that the current Imperial Navy developed from the First Fleet. Without the First Fleet, there would be no Imperial Navy.
However, Tan Renhao felt like something had been taken away from him. Naha was the home port of the Fifth Fleet, and the First Fleet came from afar and took away the role of the Fifth Fleet.
Considering the status of the First Fleet in the Imperial Navy, even if General Liao Hanxiang went to Marshal Sagittin to argue - which he would most likely do given his temper - there would probably be no good result.
“It can’t be helped.
Half a year ago, the First Fleet suffered a great humiliation, and Marshal Sagittin was even publicly ridiculed. Even the Prime Minister summoned Marshal Sagittin alone after the exercise.
Marshal Sagittin personally decided to arrange the First Fleet to conduct confrontation exercises with the Japanese Southwest Combined Fleet.
Ji Xiaobin let out a long sigh, "However, General Liao Hanxiang arranged a new mission before he set off, and now, I hope you can complete this mission."
Tan Renhao nodded, forcing himself to calm down.
Ji Xiaobin placed a folder in front of Tan Renhao.
"Take a closer look when you get back and give me a reply as soon as possible. If you need more manpower, I will try my best to arrange it."
"yes!"
Tan Renhao stood up immediately. Ji Xiaobin had already signaled to send him away. "Colonel, if there is nothing else, I will leave first!"
After finding Hao Dongjue and Chang Jianxin, Tan Renhao first told them the new arrangements.
"How can this be possible? The First Fleet is too overbearing!"
Hao Dongjue was still in the same temper , "Isn't this just taking food from our pot? This is simply too much. Commander Liao is not going to do anything?"
Chang Jianxin just smiled bitterly. He came from the First Fleet and had a deep understanding of its tyranny.
"General Liao Hanxiang has already gone to Zhoushan, but we can't hold out too much hope!"
Tan Renhao was annoyed. This time he lit a cigarette without hesitation, and then placed the folder in front of the two men. "This is a new task that the colonel has just assigned to us. We need to make a rough assessment of the results of the confrontational exercise between the First Fleet and the Southwest Combined Fleet of Japan, and conduct two simulation exercises. One is the confrontational exercise between the Fifth Fleet and the First Fleet, and the other is the confrontational exercise between the Fifth Fleet and the Southwest Fleet of Japan."
Hao Dongjue and Chang Jianxin immediately surrounded him and looked at Tan Renhao with some disbelief.
Simulated confrontation exercises are so-called "war games" that use various data to replace actual exercise actions and finally infer the results of the exercise.
Under normal circumstances, such large-scale simulation exercises require dozens of staff members to complete, so as to ensure the accuracy of various data and that the deduction results are as close to the actual situation as possible.
"Colonel Ji Xiaobin only wants a rough assessment result. Of course, if necessary, we can request more manpower assistance, but I think that if we just need to make the final judgment on the winner, the three of us are enough."
Tan Renhao divided the documents between the two people and said, "This is our first time to do a war game simulation, so we first need to familiarize ourselves with the relevant knowledge, and then we can start the actual simulation. Any questions?"
"How much time do we have?"
Chang Jianxin frowned slightly. Even if it was just a deduction on paper, all that was needed was the simplest preliminary judgment result, which also required a lot of work, and time was most important.
"The colonel didn't give any specific instructions, but the First Fleet will arrive in five days, and General Liao Hanxiang will probably return to the fleet in the next few days. So, we'd better move quickly and hand over the results of the pre-simulation between the First Fleet and the Japanese Southwest Combined Fleet to General Liao Hanxiang."
Tan Renhao spoke very quickly, as if he was racing against time, "Maybe General Liao Hanxiang is waiting for our report!"
Hao Dongjue and Chang Jianxin both nodded. Since this was the task left by General Liao Hanxiang before he went to the Navy Headquarters, it must be very important.
Over the next three days, the three used the data they had collected to conduct more than ten repetitive simulations of the confrontational exercises between the First Fleet and the Japanese Southwest Combined Fleet.
The three were not surprised by the result, but Tan Renhao was not in a hurry to submit the report.
He spent two days pondering over and over whether the results of each step of the deduction would deviate, and how large the specific deviation would be. He then summarized the deviations of all the steps, that is, the reliability rate, and came up with a deviation range, that is, the probability range of the final deduction result being consistent with the actual situation.
This is a very brain-intensive task.
Although Tan Renhao's math scores, especially calculus scores, were the best in the school when he was studying at the Naval Academy, this large-scale calculation still gave him a headache and he felt that he had learned too little.
He spent two full days verifying all the steps of the deduction one by one, and recorded the detailed process of the deduction in the form of a report, and finally completed an overall probability report.
This report is by no means redundant.
How credible are the results of any war game simulation report and how much reference value it can provide to superiors? Such a report with overall compliance rate is extremely critical.
The possible conformity rate with the actual situation will become the most important reference information for superiors.
