Chapter 182 Analysis from the Opponent
Affected by the negative decline of Yinzhijie last Friday and this week, the net value performance of Junshi No. 1 Fund this week was average, with total assets of 54.4286 million yuan and a net value of 1.3607, a slight decline compared to 1.3796 at the end of July.
However, this still does not affect the laughter in the trading room. No fund can continue to rise. Ups and downs are the norm for A-shares.
Compared with other private equity funds whose net asset value curves fluctuate greatly and seriously affect investors' mentality, the drawdown of Junshi No. 1 is really too friendly.
A fund that allows investors to sleep well every day is a good fund.
Small and medium-sized start-up stocks rebounded collectively this week. For retail investors who are accustomed to holding small and medium-sized start-up stocks, they can be said to have enjoyed the happiness brought by stocks this week.
When trading stocks in the A-share market, such happy moments are rare. Compared to Gu Junhao, Li Ze and others’ happiness this week was even more difficult to suppress.
All this was brought to them by Tong Huashun. Tong Huashun had four positive lines in five trading days this week. After a surge of 14.11% last week, it surged again by 13.82% this week. The market value of Li Ze's assets has increased visibly.
Like the trend of the ChiNext Index, Tonghuashun rose slightly on Monday, opened high and continued to rise in early trading on Tuesday. At 1:40 p.m., Tonghuashun's stock price hit the daily limit and eventually rose by 5.52%.
After the big surge on Tuesday and two consecutive adjustments on Wednesday and Thursday, Tonghuashun performed well again today and once again became the leader of the Internet finance sector.
In the early trading session, Tonghuashun opened above the 20 yuan mark in the call auction, and then continued to rise. In a trading period of less than ten minutes, it quickly broke through the previous high point and continued to move towards the integer mark of 21 yuan.
Fifteen minutes after the opening, Tonghuashun successfully hit the daily limit with the support of a buy order of 3,500 lots, and the stock price was reported at 21.79 yuan. After a brief opening, Tonghuashun hit the daily limit again at 9:50.
However, at 2:10 p.m., two consecutive large sell orders of tens of thousands of shares broke the limit of Tong Huashun's trading. In the end, Tong Huashun only ended up with a 6.87% intraday increase.
However, this does not affect the trend of Tonghuashun. Like Wan'an Technology, Tonghuashun has developed a trend line that seems to be a sign of guidance.
If this round finally breaks through, then today will definitely be the starting point for Tong Huashun, and the price of 20 yuan will also be a strong support point for Tong Huashun.
Since rejoining Tong Huashun after the adjustment, the number of Tong Huashun holders in Li Ze’s group has grown from the previous 7 to the current 15, accounting for 50% of the group members.
After a round of big surge, no one was washed out. The adjustment was really too fast, and these people had no time to react before the price started to rise.
Although the stock price crashed today, it did not change everyone's opinion of Tong Huashun. The bolder ones even made a big T-trade of selling first and buying later.
After a round of big increases, everyone made a lot of money and was naturally very happy, and the other half of the people who didn't get on the train could only express envy.
The market value of Li Ze's holdings has increased from the initial 300,000 yuan to the current 529,300 yuan, with profits exceeding 200,000 yuan and assets exceeding 500,000 yuan. While Li Ze is excited, he has also become calmer.
Today everyone followed T, but Li Ze did not take any action, although he suspected that T would have a share in the two large orders of tens of thousands of lots at the end of the trading day, especially the first one of more than 11,000 lots.
At that time, everyone suspected that this was Brother T's work. Although Li Ze had his doubts, he was finally convinced by the price of 26 yuan.
"The price hasn't doubled yet. I don't think it's Brother T. Besides, the trend is so good. Brother T doesn't seem like such a short-sighted person." Li Ze comforted everyone.
"And don't worry, the stocks that Brother T sells will always give you a chance to escape. Think back, which of Wangsu Technology and Dafu Technology didn't hit a new high in the end, giving everyone a chance to escape?"
"In a word, even if I don't sell it today, there will be opportunities in the future. Brother T is not a rip-off."
Li Ze's words undoubtedly convinced everyone. This is also one of . In the stock market, the rate of return is always the most convincing.
Although Li Ze's previous operations were poor and the losses were quite serious, as far as Tonghuashun stock is concerned, Li Ze's ultra-low cost and high return rate of 62.47% are enough to change everyone's inherent impression of him.
"Listen to Li Kuang. This trend is like a fairy pointing the way. I also believe that Brother T will not sell out his stocks."
“Hehe, who knows if Brother T will take it back in the end? Brother T often does T with a full position.
He would break the board and buy it back when it dropped to around 4%. With this round trip, he could make a lot of money with 10,000 yuan.”
"Haha, it's really possible. There was some volume at the end of the trading day. Maybe it's true."
"Thanks to Brother T, I made a one-dollar T today. Like Brother T, I also increased my stake."
"Oh my god, you are so awesome. The lowest point this afternoon was only 20.76 yuan, and the total drop was only 1.03. You can actually do a T of one yuan. You are quite capable."
"I was lucky. I saw 10,000 shares coming out at that time. It was still the upper limit price at that time, so I sold it immediately. Later, when I saw that it was stable, I placed an order at 20.79 yuan. I didn't expect that it was actually traded."
"So your full position has a 12% profit today, that's amazing, it's really cool."
"Thanks to Li Kuang, Tong Huashun is a really good stock. Whether he can make a fortune depends on him."
"Seeing you guys making money one by one, I'm crying because of my loss. It's so pitiful. If God gave me another chance, I would have entered Tonghuashun last Friday, not just a month ago."
"There is still a chance. Li Kuang said it would reach 26 yuan, but now it is only around 21 yuan. Moreover, this stock is controlled by an institution and has just been launched. There is no need to worry about institutional stocks that have just been launched."
"I don't dare to buy anymore. It's too high. I won't buy unless it drops sharply. Alas, I've watched it from 12 to 21 and didn't get any profit once. It's really depressing."
“There are only three best stocks in the market: those owned by others, those just sold, and those you wanted to buy but didn’t buy; Tong Huashun is one of those you wanted to buy but didn’t buy.”
"I wanted to buy it but didn't. But why don't we take a look at Dongfang Wealth? It has the same probability as Tong Huashun and is still at a low price, just over 11 yuan."
"In fact, I also looked at Dongfang Wealth today. It has also stopped falling and rebounded. The current price is not high. It should be no problem for it to rebound from the 60-day line."
"It's really good. Let's see next week. I hope I can get a chance to buy it. Don't be like Tong Huashun, who pushed it up so fast that people are afraid to buy it."
…
Gu Junhao did not trade Tong Huashun. A market value of over 30 million is still very lethal for a stock with a daily trading volume of only about 300 million.
This kind of liquidation at the daily limit should not be done unless you formally decide to do so. Institutions can sell large orders of tens of thousands of shares, and you can buy and take them yourself.
If I were to sell off the more than 15,000 lots in my holdings today, the trend of Tong Huashun might not be the same. It is possible that the main institutions would use funds to take over directly.
After washing out a big investor with a market value of over 30 million, the number of chips that institutions can use to build positions at one time has greatly increased. If they are ruthless, the stock may hit two more daily limit increases next week. If they want to buy in at that time, the cost will be much higher.
Yinzhijie can fall for a week in a row, and it is not impossible for Tonghuashun to rise for a week in a row. After all, such a large amount of funds were taken over at 21.79 yuan, and the main institutions also need to reduce the risk of holding positions through continuous pull-ups.
The operations of Su Technology and Dafu Technology in the past are no longer mentioned. At that time, there was little capital, so there was no need to worry about not being able to receive it back. Even if posts were made online, there was no need to worry about being deliberately targeted by major institutions.
In the evening, Junshi No. 1 announced its latest market value. This pullback operation made other private equity funds even more confused. Isn’t it called Junshi Growth Mixed Fund? Why did the small and medium-sized start-ups surge this week and then pull back?
This also made the manager of Henghua No. 1 Fund, who has never reached the top since losing the first throne, more confident in his views.
During the previous adjustment of the ChiNext, Gu Junhao completed the adjustment of positions and stocks, and shifted his positions to the blue-chip weighted stocks.
"This little guy is really sensitive to the market. He actually completed the portfolio adjustment and stock swap at the bottom. No wonder the net value has increased so much this time."
"He is indeed very sensitive to the market, his operating methods are sharp and sophisticated, and he is making rapid progress." The assistant to the Henghua No. 1 Fund Manager also exclaimed.
Sharp refers to the all-in operation, and sophisticated refers to the attitude towards the market and not being obsessed with one sector.
"It's indeed a significant improvement. Can you analyze which sector the blue chips with large weights he holds belong to?" the manager said with a smile.
"Big finance? And it's most likely securities companies, right?" The big finance sector has seen the biggest pullback this week, with securities companies and banks leading the decline.
"Well, it's highly likely, but can you tell anything from his holding logic?"
"Is Manager Gu also optimistic about the bull market?" As the brother-in-law of Wang Chao, manager of Henghua No. 1 Fund, the 24-year-old Shi Xin did not simply rely on his connections to get to the top.
In addition to his handsome appearance, Shi Xin also has a high level of education and internship experience at an internationally renowned investment bank. Rather than saying that the brother-in-law is helping his brother-in-law, it is more like they achieve mutual success.
In addition to being Wang Chao's assistant, Shi Xin is also responsible for intelligence analysis. The recent release of a series of market news has made him feel that a big rebound has arrived.
When the stock market plunged last Friday, Shi Xin encouraged his brother-in-law to enter the market with a full position, but the mature Wang Chao did not accept his advice. Although the two of them deviated from the track in their analysis of Junshi No. 1's holdings.
But the general analysis and judgment is not wrong. At present, Junshi No. 1 still holds the most in the pan-large financial concept. There is no need to say much about Dongfang Wealth, and Xibu Securities is an authentic brokerage concept.
Even Yinzhijie, which has been falling continuously, has a series of broad financial concepts such as Internet finance and information technology due to mergers and acquisitions and restructuring. The only one that has nothing to do with finance is Wan'an Technology.
This was a wrong move. Wang Chao originally just wanted to analyze Junshi No. 1's holdings to see if he could block it and try to regain the top spot.
However, the analysis results showed that Gu Junhao held shares in the large financial sector, so Wang Chao naturally gave up the idea. At the same time, he couldn't help but sigh at Gu Junhao's market sensitivity.
If Wang Chao is still not sure that a big rebound is coming this week, then his career as the top private equity fund manager will be over.
